FC Saarbrückenvs
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 9/19/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Saarbrücken · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Saarbrücken 2-1 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
Original prediction
FC Saarbrücken
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 49.6% | 53.4% | 3.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 24.1% | 22.9% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 3.43 | 26.3% | 23.8% | -2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.82 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
FC Saarbrücken
Probability
53.4%
Model confidence
53.4%
FC Saarbrücken has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40