FC Saarbrückenvs
Rot-weiss Essen
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 8/9/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Saarbrücken · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
FC Saarbrücken are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Rot-weiss Essen are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Saarbrücken hold a 56.7-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.4% in the 3. Liga, while FC Saarbrücken holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Saarbrücken
Probability
56.8%
Model confidence
9.4%
FC Saarbrücken has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 17 · GA 9 · avg 3.40/1.80