FC Saarbrückenvs
Nancy
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 10/2/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Saarbrücken · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Saarbrücken 2-1 Nancy
Original prediction
FC Saarbrücken
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 07:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.76 | 32.6% | 44.6% | 11.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 25.9% | 25.9% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.17 | 41.5% | 29.5% | -12.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.76 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
FC Saarbrücken
Probability
44.6%
Model confidence
44.6%
FC Saarbrücken has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20