GGOALVIO

Germany · DFB Pokal · 8/11/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Saarbrücken · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

FC Saarbrücken are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Karlsruher SC are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Saarbrücken hold a 45.6-point power-rating edge (69.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.6% in the DFB Pokal, while FC Saarbrücken holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Saarbrücken

Probability

52.6%

Model confidence

52.6%

FC Saarbrücken has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC SaarbrückenDWLWW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Karlsruher SCDDWDL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FC SaarbrückenKarlsruher SC
53.3Attack33.3
66.7Defence33.3
80.0Form0.0
69.3Power23.7
2.30xG1.16
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