FC Saarbrückenvs
Hertha BSC
SCHEDULEDGermany · DFB Pokal · 8/22/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Saarbrücken · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
FC Saarbrücken are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Hertha BSC are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Saarbrücken hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (69.3 v 65.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the DFB Pokal, while FC Saarbrücken holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Saarbrücken
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
FC Saarbrücken has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20