GGOALVIO

Germany · DFB Pokal · 8/22/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Saarbrücken · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC Saarbrücken are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Hertha BSC are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Saarbrücken hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (69.3 v 65.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the DFB Pokal, while FC Saarbrücken holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Saarbrücken

Probability

39.5%

Model confidence

39.5%

FC Saarbrücken has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC SaarbrückenWWDDD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Hertha BSCWWDDW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FC SaarbrückenHertha BSC
53.3Attack100.0
66.7Defence50.0
80.0Form58.3
69.3Power65.4
1.95xG1.69
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