FC Saarbrückenvs
Hansa Rostock
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 8/30/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Saarbrücken · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Saarbrücken 2-4 Hansa Rostock
Original prediction
FC Saarbrücken
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.56 | 35.4% | 45.1% | 9.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 27.4% | 25.2% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.44 | 37.2% | 29.7% | -7.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
FC Saarbrücken
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
FC Saarbrücken has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 11 · GA 13 · avg 2.20/2.60