GGOALVIO

Germany · 3. Liga · 8/19/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Saarbrücken · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

FC Saarbrücken are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FC Viktoria Koln are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Saarbrücken hold a 32.5-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.0% in the 3. Liga, while FC Saarbrücken holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Saarbrücken

Probability

54.0%

Model confidence

54.0%

FC Saarbrücken has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC SaarbrückenWDWLW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
FC Viktoria KolnWWDLW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FC SaarbrückenFC Viktoria Koln
100.0Attack51.8
33.3Defence43.0
100.0Form43.0
80.3Power47.8
2.31xG1.40
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