FC Ryukyuvs
Tochigi SC
COMPLETEDJapan · J3 League · 10/17/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Ryukyu · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Ryukyu 1-0 Tochigi SC
Original prediction
FC Ryukyu
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.70 | 33.2% | 40.8% | 7.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.14 | 28.5% | 27.5% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.34 | 38.3% | 31.7% | -6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.70 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
FC Ryukyu
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
FC Ryukyu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40