FC Ryukyuvs
Sagamihara
COMPLETEDJapan · J3 League · 8/29/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sagamihara · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Ryukyu 2-1 Sagamihara
Original prediction
Sagamihara
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.83 | 32.0% | 29.6% | -2.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 28.6% | 27.7% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.29 | 39.4% | 42.7% | 3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Sagamihara
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
Sagamihara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 16 · avg 1.60/3.20
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80