FC Ryukyuvs
Kitakyushu
COMPLETEDJapan · J3 League · 9/9/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Ryukyu · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Ryukyu 3-0 Kitakyushu
Original prediction
FC Ryukyu
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.05 | 44.1% | 42.9% | -1.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 26.7% | 26.7% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.08 | 29.3% | 30.4% | 1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.05 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
FC Ryukyu
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
FC Ryukyu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FC RyukyuLLWDL
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
KitakyushuLWDDL
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FC RyukyuKitakyushu
41.7Attack41.7
50.0Defence41.7
33.3Form25.0
44.6Power39.1
1.52xG1.17