Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Ryukyu · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Ryukyu 0-2 Kanazawa
Original prediction
FC Ryukyu
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.76 | 32.5% | 36.2% | 3.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 26.8% | 28.2% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.21 | 40.7% | 35.6% | -5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
FC Ryukyu
Probability
36.2%
Model confidence
36.2%
FC Ryukyu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FC RyukyuDLWWL
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
KanazawaLWLDW
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FC RyukyuKanazawa
41.7Attack58.3
58.3Defence45.8
45.8Form41.7
50.0Power50.0
1.46xG1.31