Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ehime FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Ryukyu 1-1 Ehime FC
Original prediction
Ehime FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.39 | 26.5% | 27.8% | 1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.7% | 27.2% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 1.88 | 47.8% | 45.1% | -2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.50 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Ehime FC
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Ehime FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FC RyukyuLWWLL
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Ehime FCWLWWW
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FC RyukyuEhime FC
42.9Attack85.7
57.1Defence61.9
47.6Form76.2
50.5Power74.2
1.08xG1.78