Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zenit · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
FC Rostov are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Zenit are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Zenit hold a 44.9-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 98.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.7% in the Premier League, while Zenit holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Zenit
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
41.7%
Zenit has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60