Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Rostov · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
FC Rostov are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Rubin are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Rostov hold a 90.0-point power-rating edge (97.0 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.9% in the Cup, while FC Rostov holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Rostov
Probability
50.9%
Model confidence
50.9%
FC Rostov has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20