FC Rostovvs
Lokomotiv Moscow
SCHEDULEDRussia · Cup · 8/18/2026, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Rostov · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
FC Rostov are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Lokomotiv are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Rostov hold a 51.7-point power-rating edge (97.0 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.4% in the Cup, while FC Rostov holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Rostov
Probability
53.3%
Model confidence
12.4%
FC Rostov has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40