GGOALVIO

Russia · Cup · 8/18/2026, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Rostov · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

FC Rostov are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Lokomotiv are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Rostov hold a 51.7-point power-rating edge (97.0 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.4% in the Cup, while FC Rostov holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Rostov

Probability

53.3%

Model confidence

12.4%

FC Rostov has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC RostovDWWLL

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Lokomotiv MoscowDDLDL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
FC RostovLokomotiv Moscow
100.0Attack33.3
100.0Defence66.7
100.0Form33.3
97.0Power45.3
1.75xG1.01
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