Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Rostov · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
FC Rostov are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Lokomotiv are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lokomotiv hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (66.9 v 73.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while FC Rostov holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Rostov
Probability
34.6%
Model confidence
34.6%
FC Rostov has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40