Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Rostov · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
FC Rostov are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Fakel are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Rostov hold a 26.4-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.2% in the Premier League, while FC Rostov holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Rostov
Probability
51.2%
Model confidence
51.2%
FC Rostov has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80