Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Rostov · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Rostov 0-3 Dynamo
Original prediction
FC Rostov
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.34 | 28.6% | 39.4% | 10.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 28.1% | 27.9% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.20 | 43.3% | 32.8% | -10.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
FC Rostov
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
FC Rostov has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FC RostovLWWLL
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
DynamoWWWWW
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FC RostovDynamo
55.6Attack16.7
55.6Defence66.7
44.4Form16.7
53.1Power36.5
1.50xG1.03