FC Rostovvs
CSKA Moscow
COMPLETEDRussia · Cup · 9/1/2026, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Rostov · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Rostov 2-0 CSKA Moscow
Original prediction
FC Rostov
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.82 | 33.2% | 45.3% | 12.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 27.6% | 26.7% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.38 | 39.2% | 28.1% | -11.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.82 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
FC Rostov
Probability
45.3%
Model confidence
45.3%
FC Rostov has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FC RostovLLWDD
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
CSKA MoscowDWLWD
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FC RostovCSKA Moscow
83.3Attack16.7
100.0Defence66.7
100.0Form16.7
92.8Power36.5
1.76xG0.88