GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 3/19/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

VfB Stuttgart · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC Porto are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while VfB Stuttgart are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and VfB Stuttgart hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 54.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the UEFA Europa League, while VfB Stuttgart holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

VfB Stuttgart

Probability

37.9%

Model confidence

37.9%

VfB Stuttgart has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC PortoWWDWW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
VfB StuttgartWLDWL

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FC PortoVfB Stuttgart
53.3Attack55.6
50.0Defence58.3
40.0Form50.0
49.6Power54.3
1.41xG1.55
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