Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Porto · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
FC Porto are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Rangers are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Porto hold a 13.1-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.9% in the UEFA Europa League, while FC Porto holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Porto
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
46.9%
FC Porto has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20
GF 11 · GA 1 · avg 2.20/0.20