GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 1/23/2025, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Porto · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC Porto are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Olympiakos Piraeus are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Olympiakos Piraeus hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 55.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the UEFA Europa League, while FC Porto holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Porto

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

36.5%

FC Porto has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC PortoLLWWW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Olympiakos PiraeusWDWWW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FC PortoOlympiakos Piraeus
53.3Attack63.3
50.0Defence46.7
40.0Form56.7
49.6Power55.7
1.79xG1.78
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