FC PortovsNottingham Forest

FC Porto are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Nottingham Forest are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Nottingham Forest hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 57.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.4% in the UEFA Europa League, while Nottingham Forest holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.