FC Portovs
Manchester United
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 10/3/2024, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Manchester United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
FC Porto are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Manchester United are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Manchester United hold a 20.3-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 69.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.3% in the UEFA Europa League, while Manchester United holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Manchester United
Probability
54.3%
Model confidence
54.3%
Manchester United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80