GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 10/3/2024, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Manchester United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

FC Porto are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Manchester United are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Manchester United hold a 20.3-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 69.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.3% in the UEFA Europa League, while Manchester United holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Manchester United

Probability

54.3%

Model confidence

54.3%

Manchester United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC PortoWLWWL

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Manchester UnitedLDDWW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
FC PortoManchester United
53.3Attack77.8
50.0Defence57.8
40.0Form71.1
49.6Power69.9
1.36xG2.28
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