FC Portovs
FK Crvena Zvezda
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 10/2/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
FC Porto are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.20 conceded, while FK Crvena Zvezda are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FK Crvena Zvezda hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 56.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 1 · avg 2.20/0.20
GF 17 · GA 5 · avg 3.40/1.00