GGOALVIO

FC Porto logoFC PortovsFC Midtjylland logoFC Midtjylland

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World · UEFA Europa League · 12/12/2024, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Porto · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC Porto are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while FC Midtjylland are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Porto hold a 28.1-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.5% in the UEFA Europa League, while FC Porto holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Porto

Probability

50.5%

Model confidence

50.5%

FC Porto has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC PortoDWDLL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FC MidtjyllandWLWLL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
FC PortoFC Midtjylland
53.3Attack0.0
50.0Defence50.0
40.0Form0.0
49.6Power21.5
1.83xG1.11
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