GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 10/24/2024, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Porto · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC Porto are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while 1899 Hoffenheim are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Porto hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 43.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.2% in the UEFA Europa League, while FC Porto holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Porto

Probability

50.2%

Model confidence

50.2%

FC Porto has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC PortoWDWLW

GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
1899 HoffenheimWDWLD

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
FC Porto1899 Hoffenheim
53.3Attack45.8
50.0Defence41.7
40.0Form37.5
49.6Power43.9
1.97xG1.26
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