FC Porto Bvs
Vizela
COMPLETEDPortugal · Segunda Liga · 9/14/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vizela · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Porto B 2-2 Vizela
Original prediction
Vizela
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.73 | 24.5% | 24.7% | 0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 28.1% | 25.9% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 1.93 | 47.4% | 49.4% | 1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.26 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Vizela
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
49.4%
Vizela has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FC Porto BLLWLL
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
VizelaWWDLW
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
FC Porto BVizela
50.0Attack49.0
50.0Defence70.6
43.1Form60.8
48.3Power61.6
0.91xG1.39