FC Porto Bvs
Penafiel
COMPLETEDPortugal · Segunda Liga · 8/30/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Porto B · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Porto B 0-3 Penafiel
Original prediction
FC Porto B
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.95 | 31.2% | 43.7% | 12.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 28.5% | 27.4% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.29 | 40.2% | 28.9% | -11.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–014%
Predicted outcome
FC Porto B
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
FC Porto B has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00