FC Politehnica Timisoaravs
Ştefăneşti
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga II · 9/12/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Politehnica Timisoara · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (15%), 3-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Politehnica Timisoara 2-1 Ştefăneşti
Original prediction
FC Politehnica Timisoara
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.16 | 78.7% | 65.6% | -13.2 pts |
| Draw | 6.40 | 14.2% | 19.7% | 5.5 pts |
| Away | 12.95 | 7.0% | 14.7% | 7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.16 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–015%
- 2.3–012%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
FC Politehnica Timisoara
Probability
65.6%
Model confidence
65.6%
FC Politehnica Timisoara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20