FC Politehnica Timisoaravs
FC Bacau
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga II · 10/24/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Politehnica Timisoara · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Politehnica Timisoara 1-0 FC Bacau
Original prediction
FC Politehnica Timisoara
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.64 | 55.4% | 47.4% | -8.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 24.8% | 25.3% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 4.60 | 19.8% | 27.3% | 7.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.64 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
FC Politehnica Timisoara
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
47.4%
FC Politehnica Timisoara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80