FC Politehnica Timisoaravs
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga II · 10/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Politehnica Timisoara · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (13%), 2-0 (12%), 4-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Politehnica Timisoara 1-1 CSA Steaua Bucureşti
Original prediction
FC Politehnica Timisoara
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.50 | 60.2% | 76.4% | 16.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.09 | 22.0% | 14.1% | -8.0 pts |
| Away | 5.07 | 17.8% | 9.6% | -8.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.09 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–013%
- 2.2–012%
- 3.4–011%
Predicted outcome
FC Politehnica Timisoara
Probability
76.4%
Model confidence
76.4%
FC Politehnica Timisoara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80