Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
NAC Breda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
FC OSS are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.40 conceded, while NAC Breda are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and NAC Breda hold a 56.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.1% in the Eerste Divisie, while NAC Breda holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
NAC Breda
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
47.1%
NAC Breda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 17 · avg 1.80/3.40
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60