Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC OSS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC OSS 3-3 Jong Ajax
Original prediction
FC OSS
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.06 | 44.9% | 50.5% | 5.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.74 | 24.8% | 23.8% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.05 | 30.3% | 25.7% | -4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.74 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.3–18%
Predicted outcome
FC OSS
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
50.5%
FC OSS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FC OSSLWWLW
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Jong AjaxWLDLL
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FC OSSJong Ajax
48.5Attack45.5
48.5Defence21.2
36.4Form33.3
44.9Power36.4
2.54xG1.28