FC OSSvs
Helmond Sport
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eerste Divisie · 10/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC OSS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC OSS 3-1 Helmond Sport
Original prediction
FC OSS
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.16 | 42.9% | 40.7% | -2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 26.0% | 24.5% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.97 | 31.1% | 34.8% | 3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.16 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
FC OSS
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
FC OSS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80