Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC OSS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC OSS 3-0 Dordrecht
Original prediction
FC OSS
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.47 | 37.4% | 39.0% | 1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 26.6% | 24.1% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.56 | 36.1% | 36.9% | 0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
FC OSS
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
FC OSS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FC OSSLLWLL
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
DordrechtLLLLD
GF 7 · GA 17 · avg 1.40/3.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
FC OSSDordrecht
27.8Attack50.0
33.3Defence0.0
16.7Form22.2
29.5Power27.4
1.79xG1.72