GGOALVIO

FC Orenburg logoFC OrenburgvsUral logoUral

COMPLETED

Russia · Premier League · 8/5/2023, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Orenburg · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC Orenburg are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Ural are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Orenburg hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (43.8 v 41.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.7% in the Premier League, while FC Orenburg holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Orenburg

Probability

45.7%

Model confidence

45.7%

FC Orenburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC OrenburgDLLDD

GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
UralDLWDW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FC OrenburgUral
33.3Attack33.3
44.4Defence49.0
44.4Form34.4
43.8Power41.5
1.43xG0.90
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