GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Orenburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

FC Orenburg are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Surkhon are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Orenburg hold a 28.8-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 19.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while FC Orenburg holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Orenburg

Probability

47.5%

Model confidence

47.5%

FC Orenburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC OrenburgLLLDL

GF 0 · GA 8 · avg 0.00/1.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
SurkhonWDWLW

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
FC OrenburgSurkhon
59.5Attack0.0
42.9Defence33.3
38.1Form11.1
48.8Power19.9
2.43xG1.37
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