FC Orenburgvs
Rubin
COMPLETEDRussia · Cup · 9/2/2026, 1:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Orenburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Orenburg 1-1 Rubin
Original prediction
FC Orenburg
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.56 | 36.4% | 45.1% | 8.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 29.3% | 26.4% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 2.72 | 34.3% | 28.5% | -5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.19 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
FC Orenburg
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
FC Orenburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FC OrenburgDDWDD
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
RubinWDDDD
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 1/5
FC OrenburgRubin
83.3Attack16.7
0.0Defence0.0
50.0Form16.7
43.8Power15.8
1.99xG1.16