GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/31/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Orenburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

FC Orenburg are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Mornar are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Orenburg hold a 27.4-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 21.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while FC Orenburg holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Orenburg

Probability

51.3%

Model confidence

51.3%

FC Orenburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC OrenburgWLLLD

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
MornarLWLWL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FC OrenburgMornar
59.5Attack46.7
42.9Defence0.0
38.1Form6.7
48.8Power21.4
3.00xG1.48
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