FC Orenburgvs
Dinamo Makhachkala
COMPLETEDRussia · Premier League · 10/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dinamo Makhachkala · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Orenburg 4-0 Dinamo Makhachkala
Original prediction
Dinamo Makhachkala
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.34 | 40.6% | 34.8% | -5.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 29.0% | 28.7% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.13 | 30.4% | 36.5% | 6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Dinamo Makhachkala
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
36.5%
Dinamo Makhachkala has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20