GGOALVIO

FC Orenburg logoFC OrenburgvsCSKA Moscow logoCSKA Moscow

COMPLETED

Russia · Cup · 7/26/2023, 1:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CSKA Moscow · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC Orenburg are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while CSKA Moscow are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and CSKA Moscow hold a 30.0-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.0% in the Cup, while CSKA Moscow holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CSKA Moscow

Probability

36.0%

Model confidence

36.0%

CSKA Moscow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC OrenburgLDDDD

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
CSKA MoscowLLLWL

GF 9 · GA 15 · avg 1.80/3.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
FC OrenburgCSKA Moscow
33.3Attack33.3
0.0Defence66.7
0.0Form33.3
15.3Power45.3
1.24xG1.38
View match centre →