FC Orenburgvs
Akron
COMPLETEDRussia · Premier League · 9/6/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Orenburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Orenburg 2-2 Akron
Original prediction
FC Orenburg
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.78 | 52.9% | 48.3% | -4.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 25.4% | 26.2% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 4.36 | 21.6% | 25.5% | 3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.72 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
FC Orenburg
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
FC Orenburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60