FC Obermaisvs
Brian Lignano
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie D - Girone C · 10/25/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (15%), 0-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Obermais 1-1 Brian Lignano
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.04 | 44.4% | 35.4% | -9.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.05 | 29.7% | 30.5% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.50 | 25.9% | 34.2% | 8.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.05 · Draw 2.05 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–015%
- 3.0–113%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.5%
Model confidence
35.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FC ObermaisLWLDL
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Brian LignanoLLDLW
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
FC ObermaisBrian Lignano
0.0Attack50.0
33.3Defence50.0
0.0Form50.0
15.3Power50.0
0.93xG1.09