1. FC Nürnbergvs
1. FC Kaiserslautern
COMPLETEDGermany · 2. Bundesliga · 10/24/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
1. FC Nürnberg · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
1. FC Nürnberg 0-1 1. FC Kaiserslautern
Original prediction
1. FC Nürnberg
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.05 | 45.5% | 51.7% | 6.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 25.2% | 24.3% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.18 | 29.3% | 24.1% | -5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
1. FC Nürnberg
Probability
51.7%
Model confidence
51.7%
1. FC Nürnberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80