GGOALVIO

1. FC Nürnberg logo1. FC NürnbergvsArminia Bielefeld logoArminia Bielefeld

SCHEDULED

Germany · 2. Bundesliga · 8/29/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

1. FC Nürnberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

1. FC Nürnberg are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Arminia Bielefeld are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 3.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and 1. FC Nürnberg hold a 73.3-point power-rating edge (97.0 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.3% in the 2. Bundesliga, while 1. FC Nürnberg holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

1. FC Nürnberg

Probability

59.1%

Model confidence

10.3%

1. FC Nürnberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

1. FC NürnbergWWWDW

GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Arminia BielefeldLDWWW

GF 19 · GA 3 · avg 3.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
1. FC NürnbergArminia Bielefeld
100.0Attack33.3
100.0Defence33.3
100.0Form0.0
97.0Power23.7
2.16xG1.12
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