FC Nordsjaellandvs
CSKA Sofia
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa Conference League · 10/22/2026, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Nordsjaelland · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 3-0 (11%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Nordsjaelland 2-2 CSKA Sofia
Original prediction
FC Nordsjaelland
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 22 September 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.41 | 66.3% | 60.2% | -6.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.76 | 19.7% | 21.8% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 6.72 | 14.0% | 18.1% | 4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.76 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.3–011%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
FC Nordsjaelland
Probability
60.2%
Model confidence
60.2%
FC Nordsjaelland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00