FC Nordsjaellandvs
Brondby
COMPLETEDDenmark · Superliga · 8/30/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Nordsjaelland · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Nordsjaelland 3-1 Brondby
Original prediction
FC Nordsjaelland
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 44.0% | 37.2% | -6.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 24.9% | 26.8% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.01 | 31.0% | 36.0% | 5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.13 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
FC Nordsjaelland
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
FC Nordsjaelland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80