FC Nordsjaellandvs
Aarhus
COMPLETEDDenmark · Superliga · 9/13/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Nordsjaelland · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Nordsjaelland 2-0 Aarhus
Original prediction
FC Nordsjaelland
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 52.7% | 57.2% | 4.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.98 | 23.4% | 22.8% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.90 | 23.9% | 20.0% | -3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
FC Nordsjaelland
Probability
57.2%
Model confidence
57.2%
FC Nordsjaelland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20