FC Noahvs
Pyunik Yerevan
COMPLETEDArmenia · Premier League · 10/18/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Noah · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Noah 1-1 Pyunik Yerevan
Original prediction
FC Noah
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.81 | 50.0% | 48.9% | -1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 26.8% | 24.0% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 3.89 | 23.2% | 27.1% | 3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.37 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
FC Noah
Probability
48.9%
Model confidence
48.9%
FC Noah has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00